Good News: US Wind Power

Annual Added Capacity

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=46976

2020 was all-time record for new capacity installed.

Cumulative Capacity Installed

https://css.umich.edu/factsheets/wind-energy-factsheet

Cumulative capacity doubled in last 8 years.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_the_United_States

Wind Share of Electricity Generating Capacity

https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/wind/electricity-generation-from-wind.php#:~:text=In%202021%2C%20wind%20turbines%20were,kilowatts)%20of%20electricity%20generation%20capacity.

Wind share has grown from 1% to 9%+ in 12 years.

Wind is Largest Renewable Energy Source

https://arstechnica.com/science/2017/03/us-wind-capacity-surpasses-hydro-overall-generation-to-follow/

Wind reached hydro power capacity in 20 years. Hydro power required 70 years to reach its effective capacity.

Wind Potential Map

https://css.umich.edu/factsheets/wind-energy-factsheet

State Wind Power Capacity

https://windexchange.energy.gov/maps-data/321

US Capacity 2nd Largest

https://css.umich.edu/factsheets/wind-energy-factsheet

Wind Power Generated

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_the_United_States

Good News: US and Immigrants

US is top desired destination for immigrants

https://news.gallup.com/poll/245255/750-million-worldwide-migrate.aspx

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/11/these-are-the-countries-migrants-want-to-move-to/

New Zealand is Most Attractive Based on Immigrant Desires Per Destination Population

Best Countries to Migrate to

Immigrants “Vote With Their Feet”. 50 Million in US.

https://www.migrationpolicy.org/programs/data-hub/charts/top-25-destinations-international-migrants

US Remains a Welcoming Country, Overall

Good News: US Researchers Earn Half of All Nobel Prizes

https://iir.gmu.edu/publications/nobelprize/previous-years

https://d101vc9winf8ln.cloudfront.net/documents/41281/original/Nobel_Prize_Summary_2021.pdf?1634227855

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/10/ex-pats-immigrants-nobel-prizes-laureates-science-chemistry-economics-physics-medicine

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2018/05/10/the-hierarchy-of-countries-winning-nobels-in-the-sciences-is-shifting

Good News: US (Still) Produces 10 Million Motor Vehicles Annually

https://www.thomasnet.com/articles/top-suppliers/car-manufacturers-in-usa/

https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/united-states/motor-vehicle-production

US production is roughly same size as the EU, a larger developed market.

https://www.acea.auto/figure/eu-passenger-car-production/#:~:text=9.9%20million%20passenger%20cars%20were,during%20the%202010%2D2021%20period.

Japanese corporations produce about one-third of US output in the US. They export 400,000 vehicles from the US. Three-fourths of Japanese brand cars sold in the US are produced in the US. Japanese cars, on average, have more US (domestic) content than so-called American made cars.

https://www.autocarpro.in/feature/america-japanese-car-usa-26972

https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/26/business/japan-american-honda-hnk-intl/index.html

https://www.bizjournals.com/columbus/news/2016/06/01/japans-big-3-automakers-built-more-cars-in-u-s.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/21/japanese-automakers-tout-all-time-high-us-job-creation-pressure-on-trump.html

https://www.businessinsider.com/all-the-japanese-cars-made-in-the-usa-2017-11#toyota-avalon-toyota-motor-manufacturing-kentucky-georgetown-kentucky-13

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/business/autos/foreign/2019/06/25/american-made-cars-sold-us-japanese/39620085/

https://www.hotcars.com/11-foreign-cars-made-in-the-us-and-12-american-cars-that-arent/

https://www.motortrend.com/features/8-foreign-cars-might-surprised-made-america/

Good News: Living (Much) Longer

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/7565998/#:~:text=The%20average%20life%20expectancy%20in,France%2C%20England%2C%20and%20Japan.

https://www.populationpyramid.net/united-states-of-america/1950/

https://www.infoplease.com/us/health-statistics/life-expectancy-age-1850-2011

https://knoema.com/atlas/United-States-of-America/topics/Demographics/Age/Life-expectancy-at-age-80-years

https://www.ssa.gov/history/lifeexpect.html

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4861644/

https://www.infoplease.com/us/health-statistics/life-expectancy-age-1850-2011

It’s not all “good news”. Recent data indicates that life expectancy varies greatly between US states, counties, cities and census tracts. My hometown’s life expectancy is just 73.6 years, about 5% (3.7 years) less than the national average of 77.3 years. My suburban Indianapolis home for the last 30 years shows an 81.6 year life expectancy, about 5% (4.3 years) higher. That’s an 8 year (10%) difference between two midwestern cities.

https://www.rwjf.org/en/library/interactives/whereyouliveaffectshowlongyoulive.html

A Dozen Ways to Slay Inflation

1. Blue Ribbon Panel

Imitate the 1983 Greenspan Social Security committee.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/business/1988/03/27/a-blue-ribbon-challenge-to-nations-red-ink/fe86db9f-2abf-49bb-8a1f-1e4c96c285ae/

6-month time limit. A dozen or less bipartisan dignitaries. Retired ambassadors, investors, CEO’s, federal reserve presidents, etc. Make Mitch Daniels the chair.

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/04/mitch-daniels-purdue/606772/

Assign 2 projects. One to cut government waste. The other anti-inflation policies. No more than a dozen recommendations in each half. Presented to congress for simple yes/no vote, without major amendments allowed.

2. Spend Less Government Money

Fiscal spending is too expansionary for the current situation. Back off. Reduce infrastructure spending for now, spend it in the next recession. Reduce marginal defense programs that only have political reasons. Cut state government spending by 3%, which is budgeted to increased by 9%.

https://www.nasbo.org/reports-data/fiscal-survey-of-states

https://rollcall.com/2021/10/18/congress-blocks-cuts-to-top-contractors-weapon-budgets/

3. Incentivize Consumers to Save More

Less aggregate demand will lower prices in many markets.

Increase 401(k) limit by $10,000 for 3 years.

Provide federal government match on first 5% of savings for all employees.

https://www.shrm.org/resourcesandtools/hr-topics/benefits/pages/2022-irs-401k-contribution-limits.aspx

https://www.tsp.gov/making-contributions/maximize-your-savings/

4. Encourage Corporate Pricing Restraint

Offer corporate income tax incentives for firms to hold prices fixed for 2 years.

Wage and price “controls” are widely criticized. Perhaps a voluntary nudge would work.

5. Add Older Workers to the Labor Supply

Stop all social security fund contributions (taxes) by workers aged 62 and older.

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/060515/when-do-i-stop-paying-social-security-tax.asp

Eliminate the “clawback” of social security benefits to retirees who do choose to work.

https://money.usnews.com/money/retirement/social-security/articles/what-happens-if-you-work-while-receiving-social-security

Tweak labor laws to fight age discrimination.

6. Increase Supply of Legal Immigrants

https://www.cnn.com/2022/01/11/economy/chamber-of-commerce-inflation/index.html

https://www.businessinsider.com/immigration-inflation-labor-shortage-chamber-commerce-suzanne-clark-jobs-work-2022-1

7. Eliminate Hidden Tax of Tariffs and Trade Regulation

Unilaterally eliminate all tariffs with Europe, Central America, South America, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, India. Negotiate with China.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/one-way-biden-could-cut-inflation-131832592.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/30/removing-us-china-trade-tariffs-would-ease-inflation-jacob-lew.html

8. Windfall Profits Taxes

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-tax-how-billionaire-minimum-income-tax-works-cbs-news-explains/

https://rollcall.com/2022/03/24/windfall-profits-tax-consumer-rebate-options-under-discussion/

NEWS: Sanders Introduces Legislation to Reinstate the WWII Windfall Profit Tax to Combat Rising Inequality, Inflation, and Corporate Profiteering

https://www.bloombergquint.com/gadfly/to-fight-inflation-biden-should-tax-the-rich-shrink-the-deficit

9. Cut Transportation Costs

Tax incentive for more truck drivers.

https://www.truckinginfo.com/10166531/new-bill-aims-to-reduce-truck-driver-tax-liabilities

Open ocean shipping to competition.

Open trucking to Mexico based carriers.

10. Negotiate Drug Prices, Allow Interstate Health Insurer Competition

https://hbr.org/2021/10/the-u-s-can-lower-drug-prices-without-sacrificing-innovation

https://www.sidley.com/en/insights/newsupdates/2021/11/us-looks-to-introduce-europeanstyle-drug-price-controls

https://www.freep.com/story/news/nation/2014/09/05/dems-try-gop-idea-on-health-care-put-states-in-charge-of-cost-control/15106115/

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/six-ways-republicans-can-reduce-health-care-costs-in-their-new-plan-2017-03-11

https://www.manhattan-institute.org/reforming-health-insurance-across-states

https://www.commonwealthfund.org/blog/2017/selling-health-insurance-across-state-lines-unlikely-lower-costs-or-improve-choice

11. Increase the Supply of Housing

Increase immigration to improve labor supply. Cut tariffs to reduce supplies costs. Lean on local regulators to reduce zoning restraints and one size fits all building codes. Strategically require a higher share of affordable housing and multifamily permits annually in each metropolitan region. Phase-out the mortgage interest tax deduction for second homes.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-04/in-sizzling-u-s-housing-market-normal-is-a-long-way-off

https://www.whitehouse.gov/cea/written-materials/2021/09/01/alleviating-supply-constraints-in-the-housing-market/

https://www.shrm.org/resourcesandtools/hr-topics/benefits/pages/2022-irs-401k-contribution-limits.aspx

12. Cut Energy Prices

Loosen regulations for 5 years to encourage increased “all of the above supplies” energy through drilling, coal, oil and nuclear. Suspend federal gas tax for 3 years. Negotiate oil price minimums/maximums between US/Europe/Japan and OPEC.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bidens-menu-options-high-gasoline-prices-is-not-appetizing-2022-03-23/

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/gas-prices-inflation-us-president-cbs-news-explains/

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/03/heres-how-biden-can-lower-gas-prices.html

Summary

Reducing inflation is a complicated policy area. The solutions proposed by “experts” are rarely politically appealing. Competing political parties hesitate to provide “wins” to the other. However, 8% inflation after a 2-year pandemic while the US faces Russian war actions is a “national emergency”, worthy of an FDR like approach to “try a few things”. It is an opportunity to overcome individual industry opposition to things that make sense for the country. It is an opportunity to try some left and right solutions.

Latest Good News

Twice as many passport holders

American eagles recover from extinction threat

More voting in recent elections

Stable US steel production

Less smoking.

Record low unemployment

US universities lead global rankings

US is Energy Self-Sufficient

Flat real gas prices

Less oil/energy intensive economy

Good News: American Eagles Soar Again

Nests With Breeding Pairs Doubled in a Decade

https://www.npr.org/2021/03/25/981272794/once-imperiled-americas-bald-eagle-populations-are-soaring#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20bald%20eagles%20in%20the%20lower%2048%20U.S.,in%20other%20American%20bird%20populations.

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/bald-eagle-populations-have-skyrocketed-last-decade-180977342/