2022 US Election Participation Rates: Fair

Record High Voting Rates in 2018 and 2022

2018 and 2022 elections showed widespread increased voter participation. Increases were seen by all races, genders, income, ages, states and education levels. Increased voting by the youngest age group and Hispanic Americans were most notable.

2022 Voting Higher than Recent Decades, but Lower than Record 2018 and 2022

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/interactive/2022/voter-turnout-2022-by-state/

Complete detailed breakdowns are not yet available.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/interactive/2022/voter-turnout-2022-by-state/

Only 8 of 50 states had increased voter participation versus 2018.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1184621/presidential-election-voter-turnout-rate-state/

https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/millions-youth-cast-ballots-decide-key-2022-races

https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/half-youth-voted-2020-11-point-increase-2016

Young-adult voting remained above history, but less than the record 2018 performance.

Alternative/Early Voting Remains High

https://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2022-11-04/early-vote-totals-point-toward-record-breaking-turnout-for-midterm-elections

https://www.axios.com/2022/10/22/2022-midterms-early-voter-turnout-numbers-2018

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/20/politics/voter-turnout-analysis

The 2020 and 2022 elections both relied heavily upon mail-in and early voting options. Early voting participation, especially in competitive states, was equal to or ahead of 2018. Hence, election day participation in 2022 was somewhat lower than in the record year.

Voter Registration is as Important as Participation

https://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/2020/comm/participation-congress-election.html

Voter registration in the states with party-preference records increased from 108 million in 2017 to 117 million in 2021 and then a little to 120 million in 2022. Registrations have increased a little faster than voting age population, but have not made a material difference.

https://ballotpedia.org/Partisan_affiliations_of_registered_voters

The Democratic party share has declined significantly in the last 2 decades, replaced by “independent” voters. The Republican party share has declined by just 3%.

Voting Rules Encourage and Discourage Voting

https://www.bbc.com/news/60309566

https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-ELECTION/VOTING-RESTRICTIONS/znvnbdjbkvl/index.html

Good data on the impact of various voting law changes is not yet available. Anecdotal media reporting of the 2022 election did not indicate extremely large changes in voter behavior.

US Registration and Net Participation is Low versus other Advanced Economies

Summary

Voting participation in the US varies significantly by gender, race, age, state, income and education level. It recovered to some degree in 2018-22 following a 40-year low period. Voter registration has increased by a small amount in the last 10 years, but increased participation among registered voters has been the driver of overall results. The availability of mail-in and expanded early voting clearly boosted turn-out in 2020 and 2022. The impact of additional voting restrictions is unclear, but obviously intended to reduce turnout. Polarized politics in the US has increasing voter turnout, but only by 10-15% versus recent history. Presidential years boost turnout by 15%. State by state participation in election years ranges from 58% to 76% (excluding a few extremes), based on habits, demography and state laws. Presidential elections could have 10% higher participation if all states followed the examples of the high participation states.

Government has an increased impact on all citizens. Democracy requires participation to make the decisions and programs of governments (at all levels) legitimate. The US can do better.

One thought on “2022 US Election Participation Rates: Fair

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