Good News: Auto Choices

U.S. Auto Market Share by Manufacturer

Mfgr1970198019902000201020162020
GM39443528191719
Ford28202423161515
Toyota2689151416
FCA159121491312
Honda3671099
Nissan2549896
Hyundai11544
Kia1343
Subaru111234
Volkswagen6312332
Daimler112232
BMW1222
Mazda121222
Mitsubishi121
Volvo1111
Porsche Audi2
Tesla2
1% Offerings Count6111315131416
Top 4 % Share88797974605962

2020 U.S. Auto Sales Figures by Brand | GCBC (goodcarbadcar.net)

Top Vehicle Manufacturers in the US Market, 1961-2016 – knoema.com

Animated chart of the day: Market shares of US auto sales, 1961 to 2018 | American Enterprise Institute – AEI

In 1970, GM owned a 39% market share in the US with its 6 brands. It now sells less than one-half at 19%. Ford sold 28% and now sells about one-half as much at 15%. Chrysler-Lincoln-Mercury-Jeep has done better, selling 12% in 2020 versus 15% in 1970.

In 1970 there were only 6 firms with 1% or greater market share. Today, there are 16 firms.

In 1970, the top 4 cornered the market with 88% market share. That has declined to 62%.

In the last 50 years, 11 new firms have earned 1% or greater market share. Consumer options are 3 times as great as in 1970!

A similar change has taken place for most manufactured goods. Legacy high cost American and European manufacturers have lost market share. Asian manufacturers have gained significantly (Japan, Korea, China, Taiwan, SE Asia, India). Latin American and African manufacturers have recently started to provide a fourth option.

For consumers, this is great news. More choices. More competitors. Lower prices. Improved products.

Compare the 2021 Honda Accord LX sedan with the 1970 Chevy Impala option to get a sense of the improved features available on a standard “family sedan” today versus 50 years ago.

2021 Honda Accord Prices, Reviews, and Pictures | Edmunds

Chevrolet Impala (fourth generation) – Wikipedia

Good News: U.S. Air Travel Climbs.

YearAir-Miles10 Year % Change
196033
1970118258%
198021986%
199035964%
200053148%
20105555%
201975436%

• U.S. passenger-miles in air traffic 2007-2020 | Statista

U.S. Passenger-Miles | Bureau of Transportation Statistics (bts.gov)

Revenue Passenger Miles for U.S. Air Carrier Domestic and International, Scheduled Passenger Flights (RPM) | FRED | St. Louis Fed (stlouisfed.org)

BTS | Table 1-37: U.S. Passenger-Miles (umich.edu)

Since 1970, US air travel has grown by 4% annually, year after year after year.

Air travel in 2019 is more than 6 times as large as 1970 and more than 20 times as large as 1960 when the term “jet-setters” was coined.

Good News: Traffic Fatalities Decline

Year Deaths/100M miles B Miles M Population Miles/Person

1940 11 300 132 2,200

1950 7 460 152 3,000

1960 5 720 181 4,000

1970 5 1,100 205 5,400

1980 3 1,530 227 6,700

1990 2 2,140 249 8,600

2000 1.5 2,750 282 9,700

2010 1.1 2,970 309 9,600

2019 1.1 3,220 327 9,900

Motor vehicle fatality rate in U.S. by year – Wikipedia

Between 1940 and 2010, traffic fatalities per mile travelled declined by 90%!!! This is an amazing story that received/receives limited media coverage. Year by year the death rate declined. Not as sensational as a single fatal crash; all of which were covered.

At the human level, this is great news. 90% fewer deaths. Less loss of humanity. Less loss of human potential. Fewer children without parents. Fewer funerals.

This reflects several positive drivers. Better cars. Auto manufacturers investing in safety. Fewer older/unsafe cars on the road. Better government regulations. Better driving. Better drivers training. Better policing. Better maintenance. Better roads. Better expectations. Better media coverage. Limited access highways. More roundabouts. Better signage. Better maps. Americans believe in “continuous improvement” and make it happen.

Unsafe at Any Speed – Wikipedia

It also shows the greater mobility/freedom of American citizens. The miles travelled per person increased 5-fold in 60 years. Greater freedom of choice. More options for work, goods, services and leisure. More travel baseball. More vacations. More weekend trips. More visits with relatives.

2019 Fatality Data Show Continued Annual Decline in Traffic Deaths | NHTSA

In 2020, we have had a temporary reversal of the long-term trend, driven by bad driving on empty roads. This WAS covered by the media.

Pandemic travel: Traffic deaths up 8% in 2020 despite driving less (usatoday.com)

Driving Was Down In 2020, But Traffic Fatality Rates Surged : NPR

The rapid growth of safe travel in the 50’s, 60’s and 70’s was captured in popular media.

Top 25 Car Songs of All Time as Voted by the HOT ROD Readers

My boomer favorites (enjoy):

BEEP BEEP ~ THE LITTLE NASH RAMBLER ~ The PLAYMATES ~ ANIMATION – YouTube

Golden Earring – Radar Love (1973) – YouTube

409-the Beach Boys – YouTube

william devaughn – Diamond In the Back – YouTube

Deep Purple – Highway Star 1972 Video HQ – YouTube

hot rod lincoln – YouTube

Ronnie & The Daytonas – ‘Little GTO’ – YouTube