Ch Ch Ch Changes

The Baby Boomers may have digested more workplace changes (1970-2010) than any prior generation, moving from an industrial to a post-industrial, services, or virtual world.  The post-Civil War generation saw the initial transition from an agricultural to an industrial society (1880-1920).  Their grandchildren saw the full flowering of the industrial world, with incredible advances in manufacturing, transportation and communications (1920-1960). 

Nearly every usual business practice or function in 1970 has been superseded or turned upside down in the last 4 decades.

The office world of 1970 looked much like 1920.  It was hierarchical, manual and rigid.  Secretaries assisted managers.  Typing, filing, shorthand and bookkeeping were essential skills.  Today, only a few senior execs or sales staff members have administrative or executive assistants.  Everyone else completes their own clerical functions as an integral part of work.  Paper ledger forms and 10-key adding machines have been replaced by Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) systems in even the smallest firms.  QuickBooks offers capabilities that were unimaginable in 1970.

Mainframe computers automated high volume transaction and office tasks in large firms in 1970.  Computers have since expanded to touch every function, moving through minicomputer, PC, network and cloud phases.  Sophisticated applications exist today for every function and industry, including a dozen end-user tools such as spreadsheets, databases, word processing and collaboration/time/task management.

Communications has progressed from rotary phones, party lines and PBX systems to WiFi, VOIP systems, wireless phones and personal digital assistants.  Media has progressed from AM transistor radios through 8-track and VHS tapes to disks, digital downloads, massively multiplayer games and social media entities.

Companies today pursue core competencies, partnerships and virtual structures in contrast with the old vertically integrated ideal or financial portfolios of conglomerates.  Firms are financed through a broad range of instruments and investors throughout their lives rather than with simple stocks, bonds and preferred stocks.

Companies today compete globally and engage in partnerships with suppliers, customers and competitors.  They also compete with suppliers, customers and competitors, including small entrepreneurial start-ups.

Support functions are more important today.  The Personnel function has become Human Resources.  Marketing has assumed a strategically important role in product development and sales management.  Finance is a strategic partner in decisions.  Many functions are outsourced.

Product development is managed through a gates and phases process.

Operations functions have been totally transformed.  Quality has evolved from a technical necessity to an organizing principle.  Processes shape decisions.  Variability and waste are shunned.  The near-perfection of Six Sigma is pursued and achieved.  Firms benchmark and copy best practices.  Forecast based push systems have been replaced with JIT pull systems, reducing inventories to zero and lot sizes to units of one.  Mass production has been replaced by a network of focused factories, modular manufacturing and outsourcing.

Strategic planning has migrated from an infrequent fully integrated top-down approach to an iterative  process that massages top-down and bottom-up factors within a balanced scorecard composed of assets, operations, stakeholders and final goals. 

Suppliers are managed as long-term partners, instead of short-term contractors.  Staff members are treated as partners, even though company and staff initiated turnover is much higher.  Simplistic theory X and Y approaches (employees are good or bad) have evolved into situational leadership type approaches that match task/people dimensions to current needs. 

These generic changes have occurred seen in every industry and function, layered on top of the major technical and professional progress seen in each area. We are rapidly approaching a time when virtual organizations are a reality because they are more effective than forms suited to an industrial era.  Baby Boomers have experienced this whole cycle of change and are well situated to mange the final transitions.

Production Strategy

Financial success often depends upon making wise strategic and structural decisions.  The Pareto Principle or ABC rule says that 20% of a firm’s products will deliver 80% of its volume or profit.  For most organizations, on a purely mathematical basis, some version of the Pareto Principle will hold true.  It may be 10% or 33% of the products accounting for most of the results, but this clustering is nearly universal.  Focusing on those activities that provide the greatest “bang for the buck” is a good strategic and tactical approach to business.

Production methods (including services) can also be classified into ABC categories.  The oldest method: custom or handicraft production can be labeled C.  The big breakthrough of standardized parts and mass production can be labeled A.  The hybrid products delivered by modular stages as in an assembly line can be labeled B.  Again, most organizations find themselves with a combination of mass (A), modular (B) and custom (C) produced goods. 

Since mass production has inherent advantages and is the lowest cost approach, firms should add modular products when the incremental benefits outweigh the costs.  Moving to the custom level involves the same benefit/cost comparison.  The incremental percentage margin is set by the marketplace and tends to decline through time as competitors add similar products, better features and benefits are offered and processes are refined and costs removed.   Sales and product managers will usually overestimate the margin benefits, while finance and production managers will underestimate them.  On the marginal cost side, the roles will often be reversed. 

The relative benefits and costs will vary from case to case, but the general structure and decisions will always need to be addressed.  In order to generate higher margins, firms need to offer products which appear to have greater custom appeal and this requires additional costs.  Firms which neglect to evaluate these trade-offs or which allow case by case negotiations often find that they have too many custom products and too little profit — or too few value-added products and too few customers.

There are four strategic approaches to this inherent trade-off.  First, firms can be disciplined and choose just one of the 3 production types.  They can deliver goods in a narrow range (A), using focused factory techniques.  As Henry Ford said, “any color you want as long as it’s black”.  They can adopt an operational excellence strategy and reduce costs through time.  Or, they can develop a modular strategy with well-defined processes for production, product development and marketing (B).  By leveraging the efficiencies of a set of highly effective modular processes, they can deliver new products and services at moderate volume with higher margins.  A product innovation strategy can be delivered this way.  Finally, they can choose a customized production strategy (C) and deliver highest margin niche products to specialized users.  This approach can attempt to leverage mass or modular production, but the real focus is on developing or adapting products to meet specialized needs.  This fits best with the customer intimacy strategy.

Unfortunately, the explosion of product choices in the 1970’s and 1980’s resulted in most firms delivering some messy, unintended combination of A, B and C products.  The mass production world moved from 90% A and a little B to 50% A, 40% B and 10% C in many cases.  Some firms even found one-third each as their production profile.  A second overall strategy has been to outsource the production of A level mass production items to the lowest cost source: in a focused factory, to a market leader, as an import, as a drop ship or through a partner.  A third strategy is to develop a truly modular production line ala Dell and move all production through a single highly refined process.  A fourth strategy is to outsource the customized work to partner firms, IT implementation shops, other engineering firms or to repackaging firms.

It is possible to combine mass, modular and custom product deliver flows within a single firm, but it is not easy.  At a minimum, firms need to make decisions in these terms, monitor the results and adapt to ensure that the marginal benefits justify the marginal costs.