Hamilton County Growth, 1970 – 2020

 County Populations, 1970-2020, US, Indiana and Hamilton 
 The US population has increased by 64% in the last 50 years, from 202 to 330 million. 
 Indiana has grown by half as much (30%), while Hamilton County has increased five-fold (527%). 
 US growth was in the 10% range for the first 4 decades, but has slowed to just 7%. 
 Indiana has grown by only 5% per decade, with a strong 1990’s offsetting a weak 1980’s. 
 The US has added roughly 25 million net residents in each decade. 
 Indiana has grown by 300,000 residents per decade, on average. 
 Hamilton County added 25,000 people in each of the first 2 decades and 75,000 in each of the last 3. 
 Indiana has declined from 2.6% to 2.0% of the country’s population, from 1 of 39 people to 1 of 49.’ 
 Hamilton County’s % of the US population has nearly quadrupled, reaching 0.1%, or 1 in 1,000 of US residents. 
 Half of the U.S.  lives in just 144 of 3,143 counties. 
 The US has a staggering 3,143 counties.  
 An ABC (pareto) analysis shows relative stability of the population distribution across the decades. 
 Just 60 counties (2%) account for one-third of the population in each decade. 
 One-half (50%) of the population lives in just 144 total counties (5%). 
 70% of the people live in just under 400 counties (12.5% or 1 in 8). 
 80% live in 22% of the counties (the classic Pareto 80/20 rule).  680 counties, on average. 
 The 70% and 80% groups have seen a somewhat tighter clustering of counties through time. 
 90% of the people live in 40% of the counties. 
 The last 10% of people live in the complementary 1,900 counties (on average). 
 The number of counties in the last 10% has grown from 1,820 to 2,011 in 2020 and an estimated 2,071 in 2030. 
 So, in general, the top half of population remains grouped in just 144 counties. 
 The 50th-90th percentile is more concentrated in 1,100 versus 1,300 counties. 
 The final 10% is more spread out across an extra 200-300 counties worth of space. 
 7 largest counties contain as many people as the bottom 2,021 (33 million). 
 As the country’s population has grown by 64%, the minimum county population size required to belong to  
 each tier (33%, 50%) has grown similarly.   The smallest county in those comprising 33% of the population 
 has increased by 46% from 626K to 914K in 2020. 
 The 70th percent group minimum has more than doubled from 89K to 182K. 
 The 80th and 90th percentile groups have similarly increased, from 48K to 99K and 23K to 42K, respectively. 
 This is another way to show that smaller counties with populations of 50K or less are even further 
 removed from the relatively small number of counties (610, 22%) that hold 80% of the total population, 
 with a minimum 99K population in 2020. 
 The 2,011 smallest counties in 2020 have a total population of 33M, averaging 16,000 residents. 
 The 143 counties that account for half of the population (5X), average 1.15M people each, or 70X as dense. 
 The 7 largest counties hold 33M people, the same as the 2,021 lowest population ones. 
 Twice as many counties with 1 million people since 1970. 
 This increased population density can be seen in actual population figures as well. 
 The country had 22 counties with 1M people in 1970.  24 cities have reached this milestone in the last 50 years. 
 These are mainly the primary counties of metropolitan areas, but some are large suburbs (Oakland, MI;  
 Collin, TX; Fairfax and Montgomery, DC; San Bernardino and Riverside, CA). 
 The growth can be seen at the 250K and 500K levels, with a total of 277 counties now holding 250K+ residents. 
 There are a few more counties in the 25K and 50K tiers, but the sub-25K group has 361 fewer counties in 2020. 
 Indiana county populations have been relatively static. 
 With it’s relatively slower population growth, Indiana has seen only moderate growth in its county profile. 
 Indiana had 23 counties with 50K+ residents in 1970, and a few more (27) in 2020. 
 Marion County is the largest, above 500K since 1970, reaching 970K in 2020. 
 Lake County exceeded 500K in 1970, but slipped below that level in 1983. 
 Allen County has exceeded 250K residents throughout this time, reaching 485K in 2020. 
 St. Joseph County reached 250K in 1992 and 272K in 2020. 
 7 Indiana counties exceeded 100K in 1970 and remain at that tier: Elkhart, Tippecanoe, Vanderburgh, 
 Madison, Delaware, LaPorte and Vigo. 
 5 counties reached the 100K level after 1970: Porter (76), Monroe (81), Johnson (95), Hendricks (00), Clark (04). 
 Hamilton County passed 100K in 1988 and 250K in 2006, holding 345K residents in 2020. 
 Indiana added 1.6M residents, but 30% growth is only half the national average. 
 Indiana grew by 1.6M residents across these 50 years; 30%.  Less than one-half of the national growth rate. 
 The growth is very different across the 92 counties. 
 5 counties gained 99,000 residents or more.  This totaled 788K.  The 63% matches the country’s growth. 
 9 counties gained 30-98K residents, adding 511K residents.  The 82% growth rate exceeds the nations. 
 These 14 counties combined added 1.3M residents, with a growth rate of 69%. 
 Unfortunately, these counties were responsible for 83% of the total Indiana population growth in 50 years. 
 The other 78 counties, with 3.3M residents in 1970, recorded 3.6M people in 2020, for just 8% growth. 
 Hamilton County is the fastest growing Indiana county, adding 290,000 residents since 1970. 
 Hamilton County has been the fastest growing county in Indiana across the last 50 years. 
 It added 290,000 residents from a base of just 54,000; barely in the top one-fourth of Indiana counties in 1970. 
 During these 5 decades, Marion, Hendricks, Allen and Johnson counties added 178, 119, 102 and 99K residents. 
 Hamilton County added 25,000 residents in both of the first 2 decades and 75,000 in each of the last 3 decades. 
 Hamilton was the 21st largest of 92 Indiana counties in 1970. 
 It quickly passed 5 of its counterparts in each of the next 3 decades, reaching 6th place in 1999. 
 Passing Floyd, Bartholomew, Johnson, Wayne and Grant counties as it reached 82K by 1980. 
 Passing Howard, Clark, Vigo, LaPorte and Monroe counties as it reached 110K by 1990. 
 Passing Delaware, Madison, Tippecanoe, Porter and Vanderburgh counties as it reached 172K by 1999. 
 Hamilton County passed Elkhart County in 2000 and St. Joseph County in 2008. 
 Hamilton County will pass Allen County for 3rd place in 2026-2029 at 400K. 
 Hamilton County will pass Lake County for 2nd place in 2037-39 at 463K. 
 Hamilton County is in the top 300 U.S. counties by population. 
 Hamilton County has quickly risen in the overall US county rankings, from 621st in 1970 (20th percent) 
 to 296th in 2000 (10th percent) to 209th in 2020 (7th percent).   
 The competition is greater at the top, but 7K annual population growth is likely to continue for the next 20 years 
 leading to 415K in 2030 and 486K in 2040, and ranks of 195th and 174th. 
 From 1990 to 2020, Hamilton County grew from 110K to 345K; 213%. 
 It was the 69th fastest growing county in these 30 years, in the top 2% of all 3,100 counties. 
 79 counties grew by 2/3rds (156K) to 3/halfs (352K) of this 235K (213%) in this 30 year period. 
 These were mostly high performing counties, averaging 100% growth during the period.